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Performance vs Price Frontier
WeirdML: Accuracy vs Cost per Run (log)#
Every half year the price-performance frontier shifts up and to the left: the same accuracy keeps getting cheaper to run.Draft, pending review
How to read this chart
Color is the launch half-year, and each period gets its own price-performance frontier.
Source: FinSight compilation and estimates · Updated 2026-08-31
Standalone page ↗s1-frontier-epoch-01
Cheapest Way to Buy the Same Capability, Over Time (log)#
The lowest cost to reach a given accuracy threshold keeps falling, and the slope is the pace of price-performance improvement.Draft, pending review
Source: FinSight compilation and estimates · Updated 2026-08-31
Standalone page ↗s1-frontier-epoch-02
Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) Over Time#
The frontier capability index rises with each generation, and the envelope is pushed by a handful of labs taking turns.Draft, pending review
How to read this chart
One dot per model, colored by lab; the white line is the all-time-high frontier envelope.
Source: Epoch AI (CC BY 4.0); FinSight compilation and estimates · Updated 2026-08-31
Standalone page ↗s1-frontier-epoch-03
Aider Polyglot: Score vs Cost (log)#
A supporting view: on the coding benchmark, score versus cost also moves up and to the left; data runs through December 2025.Draft, pending review
Source: FinSight compilation and estimates · Updated 2026-08-31
Standalone page ↗s1-frontier-epoch-04