Articles

FinSight research articles in English, with the charts embedded as live, interactive versions.

Is AI Revenue Topping Out, or Waiting for the Next Step Up? Four Years of Step-Function Growth

2026-09-03

Four years of AI revenue show step-function growth in which every step follows a product launch, so a pause is not a peak.

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The Market Says AI Revenue Missed. So Why Is AI Compute Still Getting Tighter?

2026-08-31

AI ARR reached $105.8B on August 13, running 23% ahead of the line we drew in July rather than missing it.

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Still Reading AI Model Pricing as a Price War? The Rules Changed in Mid-2025

2026-08-25

Across 211 list prices at nine model companies, AI pricing stopped falling in mid-2025 and started sorting into tiers instead of a price war.

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Q2 2026 Cloud Earnings: Capacity-Constrained and Still Accelerating, With Demand Visible Out to 2028

2026-08-11

AWS grew 36.7%, Azure 43% and Google Cloud 82% while every one of them was short of capacity to sell, with order books now running into 2028.

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Who Pays the $2 Trillion 2027 AI Capex Bill? The Hyperscalers Owe About 60%, and the Math Works

2026-08-03

Back into 2027 capex from supplier revenue and the AI bill comes to about $1.98T, of which the five hyperscalers owe roughly 60%, or $1.19T.

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AI Is Not a Money Pit: We Drew the Cost Line for AI Compute, and It Is About a Year From Paying Off

2026-07-22

AI compute breaks even at $4.5k per GPU a year. Revenue per chip is $2,430 today, and on the current trajectory it hits the line in mid-2027.

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Today's Price Hikes Are the Early Innings: AI Compute Gets Tighter From Here, at Least Through Late 2027

2026-07-17

AI compute stays short at least through 2H27, with data center additions thinning to 1.41GW in 1H27, adding just 8.9% to the installed base.

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One Year Later, the Scorecard: AI Adoption Ran Faster Than We Said

2026-07-10

A year after FinSight's last post, we mark every 2025 call to market and find AI adoption ran faster than we said.

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Chinese originals are on the FinSight blog.